Vol crashing (in my backyard)

Hopefully, everyone has copy of the new monthly. As discussed in that document, we see the next 3 months as calm for fixed income. Nonetheless, we will no doubt have some “in range fireworks” as we did last week. Over the last 5 trading days, we went from 2.78 to 2.83...

A train wreck

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Mini-Me

Brian Sack (aka mini-Ben) gave a speech last night reiterating the basic exit structure put forth by the Chairman in February. There was little new in the speech, but there are a few parts worth repeating here as we enter the battle zone on asset sales between the...

Beggar thy Neighbor, Mate!

It’s a calm start to the week with 10s firmly in the middle of a very tight long term range - 3.60/3.80. “Roll adjusted”, 5s30s is starting the week at the all-time highs of 231 and 2s10s is about 5bps off its record highs at 281. I see very little on the immediate...

Apologies for the radio silence

I have been visiting the ECB since Thursday hence the lack of commentary since Wednesday. Here are a few quick thoughts as I jump back in front of the screens. As discussed Wednesday, playing the range is the best game in town. 10s are now back towards 3.70 and vol...