Aug-2010 Deja Vu & Timmy G’s Euro PPIP/TALF/SuperSIV Plan

Remember the August 10, 2010 FOMC meeting? After the statement was released we wrote a commentary entitled the "The Top 10 FOMC mistake list – a new addition” (see the link “NSN L7TH583PWT1D” on your BB). It was the meeting where Ben thought he was setting the stage...

The colonel orders a code pink and gets blood in the streets

So, the colonel wimped out. He didn’t listen to his academic consigliore – Rogoff, Woodford and Geanakoplos. And he left the most courageous Fed President – Charlie Evans – out in the cold. Instead he went for a compromise after feeling the heat from both a highly...

FOMC Alternatives – A, B, C and Z

At the FOMC meeting which begins today, there will likely be 3 alternatives presented in the Bluebook - A, B and C. Below we present what the statement might look like under each alternative. The more dovish Alternative A would likely call for 600b of longer dated...

Absolutely no question of it

Just a very short note today as I'm headed to the airport to start a 7 day trip across the US. I am putting a note together on what the FOMC statement might look like next week so keep an eye out - this is going to be one of the most important FOMC meetings […]...

17 TARPs and a Refi

In most ways the excess borrowing by, and lending to, European sovereign nations was no different than it was to US sub-prime households. In both cases loans were made to folks that never had the means to pay them back. And these loans were made in the first place...