After a disappointing week - like the one we just went through - I always do two things. First I reread Ben's classic "helicopter" deflation speech from 2002 - http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/speeches/2002/20021121/default.htm And second, I reread Herbert...
Today should have been some sort of momentous occasion. The Germans have backed an expanded EFSF - but the markets are about as excited as Red Sox fans. The new chatter is that this expanded power is not enough - which is of course correct - the EFSF would need...
Here is an excerpt from Fed Governor Raskin's speech yesterday: "Indeed, some commentators assign a label of “hawk” or “dove” to the various FOMC participants in an attempt to characterize how we prioritize the goals of maximum employment and price stability. In my...
Remember the August 10, 2010 FOMC meeting? After the statement was released we wrote a commentary entitled the "The Top 10 FOMC mistake list – a new addition” (see the link “NSN L7TH583PWT1D” on your BB). It was the meeting where Ben thought he was setting the stage...
So, the colonel wimped out. He didn’t listen to his academic consigliore – Rogoff, Woodford and Geanakoplos. And he left the most courageous Fed President – Charlie Evans – out in the cold. Instead he went for a compromise after feeling the heat from both a highly...
At the FOMC meeting which begins today, there will likely be 3 alternatives presented in the Bluebook - A, B and C. Below we present what the statement might look like under each alternative. The more dovish Alternative A would likely call for 600b of longer dated...
At the FOMC meeting which begins today, there will likely be 3 alternatives presented in the Bluebook - A, B and C. Below we present what the statement might look like under each alternative. The more dovish Alternative A would likely call for 600b of longer dated securities to be added to portfolio and 300b […]