Damn the Torpedoes, Full Ease Ahead

So the idea of a calm 2 weeks in Greece in order to recharge the batteries was shattered by the events of the last few weeks. I have tried to stay off the blackberry and get a little R and R, but each day I get drawn back in by the horror movie on the […] You...

X is right around 1100

A few weeks back I wrote a commentary entitled "Today's exercise - If spoo < X, then QE3. Solve for X". Yesterday's commitment by the Fed to keep the funds rate at an "extraordinarily low level" for 2 years is an ease. Is it a quantitative ease?...

Some thoughts on the early price action

The CHF rallied over 2 percent before everything else opened which seemed an ominous sign. But now it is up only 0.5 percent. Tyu is DOWN on the session after starting up 9 tics. Spoos are up over 1 percent from the lows at 1262, but are still down just about 1.5...

The US and Italian Debt Crisis

There are a lot of questions to try to answer this weekend. The first set pertains to the US debt downgrade by S&P and the second set relates to the Italian debt crisis. Both are very serious matters. Let's start with the US debt downgrade - which many thought was...

Trickle down monetary policy & global QE battle lines

The price action over the last 10 trading days has been nothing short of astonishing. From 22-Jul up until the 30 point cathartic clean out on Tuesday, we had 8 consecutive down days for spoos. Wednesday would have been the 9th, something not seen since 1978. We...

MAD fiscal policy

The basics of the BROMP (Boehner - Reid - Obama - McConnell - Pelosi) plan are out and spoos seem pretty happy!! Last week the market fell for this foolish idea that a debt default could actually be engineered in DC. Of course it was a scare tactic with no teeth....