Das Blutbad

Someone unleashed the mother of all risk parity unwinds yesterday. There have been very few days in the post crisis period where RX futures dropped 160 ticks. But witnessing such a rate move in conjunction with a -400 day in GX futures - well that is something as rare...

QEOS

First of all let me thank so many of our readers for the their kind words. My last commentary, "70 Years Ago", generated more responses than any other in my 5+ years at Jefferies. Folks from all over the world shared their family stories from that dark period of time...

70 Years Ago

I do not see much out there to change our 2015 "Dax and Dollar" (aka BTDD) trading theme. I suppose for high frequency traders the retail sales and CPI data in the US this week will be a focal point - but I doubt either will set off any changes in the big trends. And...

Spoos and Lose

In the last 24 hours spoos have dropped about 50 points. Now one might have thought that a quick risk-off move like that would cause interest rates to fall, but it didn't. Our old friends, the blue Euordollar futures, are lower by 4bps over the same time...

Helter Skelter

There has been no shortage of punditry on USD strength in 2015. It has been THE consensus trade of the year. And certainly we have been guilty of running with the pack on this one via our long Dax & Dollar trading theme (BTDD). Of course it is always more fun to...

Smoother than a Fresh Jar of Skippy

This was an excerpt from our last commentary entitled "Uncomfortable Swedish Flip Flops": "My best guess for Wednesday is we see patience gone, we get a little volatility to trade, and then we go right back to our happy place - the BTDD world" The logic was quite...

Uncomfortable Swedish Flip Flops

Swedes are not well known in the world of high fashion. Their only domestic shoe brand of note is called a "Hasbeen" - some sort of wooden clog like contraption that appears about as comfortable as an extra tight pair of ski boots. But the Swede's reputation for...

The Sheep of Wall Street

Over 50 percent of the outstanding sovereign debt in northern Europe currently has a negative nominal yield. And this not just the case in Eurozone countries, Sweden is also part of the esteemed greater than 50% negative yield club. So, the burning question on your...

When you get the money, you get the power

The Syriza leadership circle spent last weekend in Athens celebrating victory. At the same time the far left of their party, and the rest of the world, couldn't help but notice a complete u-turn on ALL their election promises. Tsipras said on Monday - "We won the...

C’mon…have another Jell-O shot

It's getting late in Club USA! Many folks, like us, have stumbled out after a fantastic five year party with Ben and Janet. We are looking for the next big rave - and from a distance we can hear the DJ's in Tokyo and Frankfurt spinning some great tunes. Harry and...