Sifting thru the draft

First of all a number of clients picked up on a rather large typo in my commentary from a few hours ago. The last sentence read - "The Germans will not destroy EMU but there will be some countries that may make it through to the end." It should have read - "The...

“Buy spoos, I got your back”

A perfect speech from Ben!!! I would have titled it "The semi-annual affirmation of the Bernanke Put to the Congress" or maybe better and more simply put "Buy spoos, I got your back". I liked this except on how the Fed describes QE policies - "by removing substantial...

The Italian Flash Crash

When 2 trillion of market cap moves into a complete liquidity vacuum, it’s a problem. The explanations for the recent Italian debt price moves seem to be all over the map. Domestics exiting, foreign central bank selling and then of course foreign central bank buying...

The post payroll price action and the debt ceiling

The post payroll price action has been less eventful than I would have thought given the size of the miss. The mortgage and corporate credit markets are only a touch softer and equities are down about 1% - all certainly within one standard dev for a payroll day! The...

Ewwwwww that smell…again!

Everything about that report stinks. Household survey showed -445k employed and +173 unemployed with the participation rate falling. Headline payrolls very soft at +18k with private payrolls only +57k. And the U6 rate went up to 16.2 from 15.8! A very bad report and...

No I was not having lunch with EU officials yesterday

Yesterday’s commentary on the ratings agencies – “A last gasp of hot NRSRO air” - was luckily well timed. From yesterday’s note I opined – “If anyone believes that the Europeans are going to rely on American based rating agencies to govern their public sector...

A last gasp of hot NRSRO air

Section 939A of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, enacted on July 21, 2010, requires the Fed, FDIC and OCC to review their regulations that require the use of an assessment of creditworthiness of a security or money market instrument and...

Mortgage Portfolio Selling for Dummies

Someone should drop off a copy of the “Mortgage Portfolio Selling for Dummies” book to 20th and Constitution Ave in DC. It’s a pretty simple book as it has only 3 basic rules. 1. Be opportunistic with your sales - never commit to any program. 2. When the market chokes...

Puppy Dogs and Rainbows for the Summer of 2011

Well, the near collapse of the global financial system has been averted after many sleepless June nights! Syntagma square has firmly cemented its place in modern financial history, and the Greek people are now resigned to their plight of lower wealth and lower income...

Opa!!! Greece’s Ronald Reagan moment

The vote has passed and it looks as though "da dip" in risk assets is being bought!! It certainly has been tough to hang with a long term rosy view in June, but for those that were able to remain committed, and buy in the face of adversity, the rewards have been...