With less than 140 days to go until the US Presidential election, the policy differences between Trump and Biden are becoming a key focus for financial markets. Looking back to 2016, I wrote a handful of notes on the likely market impact from Trump vs. Clinton policy...
The critical message from Wednesday’s FOMC meeting was not a hawkish one. Yes, the committee changed their year end-2024 rate cut projection from 75bps to 25bps. And as a consequence, the knee-jerk pundit reaction was to deem the postponement in cuts as hawkish. But...
As promised, I will always start out the new month with a blast from the past. This piece below from 2019 might be my favorite on the relative importance of monetary vs fiscal policy. Enjoy!!! $1.9 trillion of crowding out, pork, and redistribution - January 20, 2019...
Earlier this week, I attended the annual Atlanta Fed Financial Markets Conference, something I have been doing regularly for over a decade. This year, there were four reserve bank presidents and two board members in attendance, along with plenty of current and past...
A version of this commentary will appear on the CNBC Pro website today: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/05/08/david-zervos-blame-traders-living-in-rate-cut-la-la-land-not-the-fed-for-recent-market-turbulence.html In the last 2 months of 2023, the market added an additional...
Before providing a few comments on the results of today's FOMC meeting, I wanted to take care of two unrelated issues. First up, a quick logistical update. Below is list of my upcoming speaking events in May and June. If you would like to participate in, or check...
Before providing a few comments on the results of today's FOMC meeting, I wanted to take care of two unrelated issues. First up, a quick logistical update. Below is list of my upcoming speaking events in May and June. If you would like to participate in, or check availability for, any of these, please contact […]
