It’s not WILL, it’s CAN

There is plenty of heathy debate out there on the outlook for Fed rate cuts during 2024. And to be sure, you can find just about any forecast you like from the standard pool of professional pundits. Typical examples run something like “They will cut 25bps every...

Back to spoos & blues in 2024

To start 2024, I have decided to formally bring back the trade that has largely defined my career at Jefferies – risk parity!! I hinted at this in my last note from December; and after further reflection over the holidays, I am now taking the plunge. The bottom line...

The FOMC has a serious communication problem when it comes to symmetry

Definition of symmetry: The quality of being made up of exactly similar parts facing each other or around an axis. Correspondence in size, shape, and relative position of parts on opposite sides of a dividing line or median plane or about a center or axis. ———— The...

Monday reading and a programming note

It’s not often that I read a WSJ editorial and think - “WOW...that was fantastic”. But it happened with this piece from the weekend: https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-return-of-3-growth-1532731513 I highly recommend talking the time to read it. And once you finish,...