Janet’s redemption

Back in February, just around Valentine's Day, I issued a short poetic summary of my views on our newly anointed Fed Chair. It went like this: Roses are red Violets are blue Janet's a dove Buy more spoo That was right around the time of our first "spoo dip" in 2014....

Gimme Some Lovin’

It's that time of year again - the time when sell side firms campaign for Institutional Investor votes. I have to admit, I don't understand exactly how the process works. Last year many of you were kind enough to make me your first place vote in the overall "Fixed...

Unchanged in Quiet Professional Trading

After last Friday's soft payroll report and those fleeting record highs in spoos, the market has reverted to its newfound aimless pattern. Today we sit basically unchanged for the year in spoos, with both the bulls and the bears finding very little love in 2014. But...

Dorine Poole, Jermaine Brownlee and Vivki Lira

Ok, I just read Janet's speech in Chicago today. Holy dovish deepdish pizza batman!! I have no recollection of a Fed Chair's speech where the lives of three down-on-their-luck job seeking individuals were discussed in detail. This is one loving and caring Fed Chair -...

A clear voice in sea of Fed cacophony

Charlie Evans gave a fantastic speech in Hong Kong today- http://www.chicagofed.org/webpages/publications/speeches/2014/03_28_14__thoughts_accommodative_policy_hong_kong.cfm. I encourage everyone to read it! Charlie has been at the forefront of thinking on...

FMV vs Jobs  – A Misguided Tradeoff

In Q1 of 2013 Jeremy Stein made a speech on credit market overheating that slipped by most people in the market: http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/stein20130207a.htm. This speech turned out to be the canary in the coal mine portending the taper tantrum...

Janet gets a C-

Janet started out her press conference by saying: "this change in our guidance does not indicate any change in the committee's policy intentions as set forth in recent statements. Rather, the changes meant to clarify how the committee anticipates policy evolving after...

A correction

Earlier this week I sent out a commentary entitled "Because I'm Happy" where I discussed a few takeaways from our recent Global Macro Speaker Series event with Larry Summers. Of course, as with everything I write, this represented my interpretations, my inferences and...

Haters Gonna Hate

I, like most of you, have been bombarded with emails on the Russian military movement into the Ukraine. And I, like most of you, am not an expert on this subject. Thus, it is surprising to me how many folks have sent me such confident analysis on the inner workings of...

Love is in the Air

A valentine's poem for the lovers: Roses are red Violets are blue Janet's a dove Buy more spoo Last week was certainly a week for the lovers. Q's broke to new cyclical highs, spoos moved to within just a few points of all time record highs, and Friday was St....